From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Sep 6 18:08:31 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o86A8TFq005591 for ; Mon, 6 Sep 2010 18:08:30 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o862qJ1L001569; Mon, 6 Sep 2010 05:08:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3246884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Mon, 6 Sep 2010 05:08:14 -0500 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o86A8EoD002000 for ; Mon, 6 Sep 2010 05:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o86A87Dl000498 for ; Mon, 6 Sep 2010 05:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id A32CF405002B; Mon, 6 Sep 2010 05:08:07 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=1 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009060030 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20100906100807.A32CF405002B@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Sep 2010 05:08:07 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 061030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061030Z-070600ZSEP2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060753ZSEP2010// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060600Z, TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 126.3E, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.6N 124.4E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION OVER A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASE AS THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH, PREVIOUSLY DIRECTLY ALOFT, HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT. NEARBY OBSERVATIONS ARE REPORTING PRESSURES 0F 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, BUT ONLY A DEVELOPING LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AS POOR AND UPDATED AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.