From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Tue Sep 7 13:50:33 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o875oW8Z020934 for ; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 13:50:33 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o87506st001569; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 00:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3259100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 00:50:14 -0500 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o875oDlV008631 for ; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 00:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o875o6xa014036 for ; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 00:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 6295A4050020; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 00:50:06 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=1 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009060247 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20100907055006.6295A4050020@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Sep 2010 00:50:06 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZSEP2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070159ZSEP2010// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z, TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 128.7E, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM NORTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 124.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 123.4E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED ABOUT 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS, THE LLCC HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY WEAKER AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED. A 070048Z ASCAT IMAGE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM ROIG INDICATE 10-15 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER AND SLP NEAR 1005 MB (24-HOUR PRESSURE DECREASE OF 1 MB). ADDITIONAL OBSERVATIONS INDICATE 15-20 KNOT WINDS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (20 KNOTS) NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPROVE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO AN APPROACHING (LARGE) TUTT CELL EVIDENT ON ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.