From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Tue Sep 7 21:43:02 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o87Dh1XU012847 for ; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 21:43:01 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o879YiPj001501; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 08:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3262606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 08:42:46 -0500 Received: from relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (relay01.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.23]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o87DgkMa013163 for ; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 08:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o87Dg98Z008218 for ; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 08:42:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id AAB9E108B0001; Tue, 7 Sep 2010 08:42:09 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009070064 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20100907134209.AAB9E108B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Sep 2010 08:42:09 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 071400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/071400Z-080600ZSEP2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071353ZSEP2010// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z, TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 131.9E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST OF KYOTO, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 071500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 124.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 122.5E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. A 071009Z SSMIS IMAGE AND TAIWAN RADAR DATA INDICATE CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING WEAKLY FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE, NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN ENCROACHING TUTT CELL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, INDICATES THAT THE TUTT CELL HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME BROADER IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE WELL- DEFINED LLCC AND FORMATIVE BANDING, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT FINAL WARNING FOR TS 10W AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO FAIR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.