From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Fri Sep 10 13:30:12 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o8A5UBU4001919 for ; Fri, 10 Sep 2010 13:30:12 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o89EHBRQ014389; Fri, 10 Sep 2010 00:29:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3320900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 10 Sep 2010 00:29:52 -0500 Received: from relay06.cites.uiuc.edu (relay06.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.8]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8A5ToKD008712 for ; Fri, 10 Sep 2010 00:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay06.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8A5TiAh015509 for ; Fri, 10 Sep 2010 00:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id EB43C405001F; Fri, 10 Sep 2010 00:29:43 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009090183 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20100910052943.EB43C405001F@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Sep 2010 00:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZSEP2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZSEP2010// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z, TROPICAL STORM 11W (MERANTI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 118.6E, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI CHINA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 145.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 147.0E, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FRONTAL, FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WHICH IS THE REMNANTS OF TS 10W (MALOU). A RECENT 092345Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. THE SYSTEM IS NOT TROPICAL AND STILL APPEARS TO BE PART OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD AS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.