From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Sep 18 17:46:13 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o8I9kCgO020390 for ; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 17:46:13 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8HKE71D023157; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3457892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 04:45:53 -0500 Received: from relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (relay05.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.40]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8I9jra5026269 for ; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8I9jkvp017471 for ; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id B994B108B0001; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 04:45:46 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 41 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=41 spamscore=41 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009180016 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: ***** Message-ID: <20100918094546.B994B108B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Sep 2010 04:45:46 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 003 FZPN01 KWBC 180945 HSFEP1 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 1145 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT TO 50N 160E SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 18. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 19. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 20. .WARNINGS. ...STORM WARNING... .LOW 48N162E 988 MB MOVING NE 25 KT WILL TURN E AND SLOW AFTER 24 HOURS. WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 420 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N TO 52N W OF 170E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N169E 972 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. ALSO WITHIN 300 NM NE...480 NM SE AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE...900 NM SE AND 540 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N178E 976 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 480 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 TO 32 FT. ALSO W AND NW OF A LINE FROM 43N179W TO 60N164W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW 48N171W 996 MB MOVING NE 15 KT AND WEAKENING. FRONT EXTENDS FROM 54N171W TO 53N164W TO 42N158W. WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE OF FRONT AND WITHIN 300 NM E AND 480 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. HIGHEST CONDITIONS NEAR 45N172W. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WEAKENING FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 60N179W TO 55N163W TO 43N156W. WITHIN 300 NM NE OF FRONT N OF 55N AND WITHIN 120 NM E AND NE OF FRONT S OF 55N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOW 53N178E. .LOW 40N137W 1004 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 420 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 43N127W BELOW. .LOW 37N131W 1004 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. FRONT EXTENDS FROM 39N127W TO LOW CENTER TO 30N140W. WITHIN 240 NM E OF FRONT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N127W 1004 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED INLAND WITH ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS DIMINISHED. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 35N E OF 122W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 45N150W 1011 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 43N BETWEEN 166W AND 177E AREA OF W TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 35N TO 40N E OF 131W AND FROM 46N TO 58N BETWEEN 159W AND 178E AND FROM 38N TO 49N W OF 168E. .24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 37N TO 42N E OF 129W AND FROM 49N TO 59N BETWEEN 156W AND 174W...AND FROM 41N TO 53N BETWEEN 173W AND 175E. .48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 56N TO 61N BETWEEN 164W AND 172W. .HIGH 53N146W 1026 MB STATIONARY. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .HIGH 36N173E 1021 MB MOVING E 15 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N178W 1023 MB. .48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N169W 1023 MB. .48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 35N139W 1020 MB. .FORECASTER MILLS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 18. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 19. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 20. .WARNINGS. .NONE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .FROM N OF 26N WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 119W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 122W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .LOW NEAR 15N113W 1008 MB DRIFTING S. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 116W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 20N BETWEEN 96W AND 117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL...HIGHEST BETWEEN 95W AND 110W. S OF 15N E OF 96W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. NEW LOW NEAR 15N109W 1005 MB. WITHIN 330 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 2O TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 90W AND 118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 15.5N109W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT AND S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 114W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 90W AND 114W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .LOW NEAR 12N125W 1009 MB DRIFTING NE. WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 13N123W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 17N BETWEEN 118W AND 126W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 14N120W 1007 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SW AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 127W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .COLD FRONT 32N136W TO 28N143W APPROACHING FAR NW CORNER OF AREA. N OF 28N WITHIN 150 NM SE OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 31N130W TO 26N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATED. N OF 28N W OF 137W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0900 UTC SAT SEP 18... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ANTICYCLONIC S TO SW WINDS WERE FLOWING INTO THE S SIDE OF AN ELONGATED MONSOONAL TROUGH THAT DOMINATED S PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WITH AN EASTERN SEGMENT EXTENDING FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN ACROSS NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TO OFFSHORE OF THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 15N96W. A LARGER AND MORE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE SEGMENT OF THIS TROUGH EXTENDED FROM NEAR 17N103W TO 12N120W TO 12N125W TO 09N140W AND BEYOND. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING S OF THIS TROUGH AXIS...N OF 05N BETWEEN 84W AND 93W...AND WITHIN 270 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 93W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WAS ALSO NOTED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 120W AND 127W...AND W OF 137W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. 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