From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Sep 19 01:40:35 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o8IHeXs3019626 for ; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:40:34 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8IB02O2001113; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 12:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3460810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 12:40:11 -0500 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8IHeBdq027703 for ; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 12:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8IHe4Nr016940 for ; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 12:40:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 9C3B9405001D; Sat, 18 Sep 2010 12:40:04 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=29 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009180083 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20100918174004.9C3B9405001D@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Sep 2010 12:40:04 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 181830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/181830Z-190600ZSEP2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181351ZSEP2010// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z, TYPHOON 12W (FANAPI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 124.3E, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI TAIWAN, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.0N 152.0E, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 181129Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS AROUND THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH AN ANTICYCLONE IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. BASED ON THE DISORGANIZED LLCC, YET FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AS FAIR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.