From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Sep 19 14:08:28 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o8J68Qvw016569 for ; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 14:08:27 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8J2ZJew023157; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:08:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3466870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:08:12 -0500 Received: from relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (relay05.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.40]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8J68BgH017513 for ; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8J6854Z021685 for ; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 0803E4050021; Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:08:04 -0500 (CDT) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1009180179 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20100919060805.0803E4050021@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Sep 2010 01:08:04 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/190600Z-200600ZSEP2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZSEP2010// REF/B/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190251ZSEP2010// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z, TYPHOON 12W (FANAPI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 121.6E, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI TAIWAN, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 152.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 151.2E, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 182214Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER THE LLCC AND ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. A 190004Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (15 TO 20 KNOTS) WITH STRONGER GRADIENT WINDS (25 TO 30 KNOTS) ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. ADDITIONALLY, A 19/00Z SHIP OBSERVATION ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE LLCC INDICATES 20 KNOT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND A PRESSURE OF 1010 MB. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 KNOTS) AND ENHANCED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, ASSOCIATED WITH AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.