From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Thu Sep 30 13:58:28 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o8U5wQVu027175 for ; Thu, 30 Sep 2010 13:58:27 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8TLcU39025335; Thu, 30 Sep 2010 00:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3669548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Thu, 30 Sep 2010 00:58:10 -0500 Received: from relay02.cites.uiuc.edu (relay02.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.4]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8U5wAgk026252 for ; Thu, 30 Sep 2010 00:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay02.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8U5w39g025067 for ; Thu, 30 Sep 2010 00:58:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id A183B4050030; Thu, 30 Sep 2010 00:58:03 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20100930055803.A183B4050030@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Sep 2010 00:58:03 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/300600ZSEP2010-010600ZOCT2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 130.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 128.6E, APPROXIMATELY 575 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO CYCLE IN AND AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 300117Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWS A NEARLY SYMMETRIC AND WELL-DEFINED WIND FIELD WITH SUB-GALE FORCE WINDS FUNNELING INTO THE CENTER FROM THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS CURRENTLY ASSESSED AT 30+ KNOTS AND IS INHIBITING ORGRANIZATION OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, VWS WILL GRADUALLY ABATE AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD, IMPROVING THE LIKLIHOOD OF GENESIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.