From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Fri Oct 1 14:29:29 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o916TSFA024610 for ; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 14:29:29 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9130cgf025335; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 01:29:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3688891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 01:29:12 -0500 Received: from relay09.cites.uiuc.edu (relay09.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.86]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o916TCES025268 for ; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 01:29:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay09.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o916T5dS025898 for ; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 01:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 874F2108B0001; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 01:29:05 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101001062905.874F2108B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Oct 2010 01:29:05 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZOCT2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 128.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 121.6E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. CONVECTION REMAINS LOOSELY-INTACT AS THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS ACROSS THE PHILIPPINES. OSERVATIONS FROM RPLB AND RPLL, IN SOUTHWESTERN LUZON, INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE HAS DEEPENEED. BOTH SITES ARE REPORTING 3 TO 4 MB SEA LEVEL PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IT APPEARS THAT A NEW LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEGUN TO FORM BENEATH A SMALL CLUSTER OF CONCENTRATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTHERN SULU SEA, JUST SOUTH OF THESE OBSERVATION SITES. IN ADDITION TO LAND INTERACTION, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS STALLED AGGRESSIVE CONSOLIDATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.