From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Oct 2 05:56:25 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o91LuNIs026540 for ; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 05:56:24 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o91KZFca025335; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 16:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3700244 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 16:55:51 -0500 Received: from relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (relay03.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.69]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o91LtoBM020060 for ; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 16:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o91Ltilf019469 for ; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 16:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 16FFC4050032; Fri, 1 Oct 2010 16:55:43 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101001215544.16FFC4050032@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Oct 2010 16:55:43 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Western Pacific: Synoptic Discussion For The Marianas To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 428 FXPQ60 PGUM 012155 AFDPQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 755 AM CHST SAT OCT 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... PGUA WSR-88D SHOWS ONLY A FEW SHOWERS WEST OF THE MARIANAS WATERS. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS CREATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS AND NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND. TRADE-WIND CONVERGENCE IS CREATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 MILES OF A LINE FROM 4N 140E TO 15N 174E WHICH INCLUDES POHNPEI. && .DISCUSSION... TRADE WINDS REMAIN IN CONTROL OF WEATHER IN THE MARIANAS. WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FEATURES TO SHAKE THE WATER OUT OF THE AIR...A PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FORECAST LOOKED REALLY GOOD. THEREFORE...NO CHANGES WERE NEEDED. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... THE FORECAST FOR THE REGION HAS HELD QUITE WELL FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED...EXCEPT FOR THE FIRST PERIOD IN POHNPEI...AS MODEL DATA HOLDS STEADY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE EXTENDED INTO TODAY FOR POHNPEI AS THE LINE OF SHOWERS THAT EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF CHUUK TO NORTH OF KWAJALEIN HAS REMAINED STATIONARY OVERNIGHT. A TROUGH CREEPING ACROSS THE DATELINE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MAJURO TONIGHT...GRADUALLY WORKING WESTWARD TOWARDS CHUUK EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... CHUUK SITS IN A DRY SPOT WITH SHOWERS TO THE NORTH AND THE SOUTH. SHOWERS TO THE NORTH ARE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING WHILE THE SOUTHERN SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LINE EXTENDING FROM POHNPEI. THESE SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR CHUUK SEEMS TO BE A STRETCH AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...YAP AND PALAU REMAIN DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS. AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...A GENERAL TREND OF INCREASING CLOUDS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS YAP AND PALAU EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SHOWERS AND CLOUDS WITH THE TROUGH NEAR THE DATELINE SWEEPS WESTWARD. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ STANKO/M. AYDLETT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.