From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Oct 2 14:14:48 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o926EldV010360 for ; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 14:14:48 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o8U2Z8sm025476; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 01:14:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3704294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 01:14:13 -0500 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o926ECKk021738 for ; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 01:14:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o926E6Q1015321 for ; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 01:14:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 319174050033; Sat, 2 Oct 2010 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101002061406.319174050033@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Oct 2010 01:14:06 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZOCT2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 121.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.8E, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOW ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY AND FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 020217Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.