From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Oct 3 14:04:34 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o9364XIb008919 for ; Sun, 3 Oct 2010 14:04:33 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o933G64r025476; Sun, 3 Oct 2010 01:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3711182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 3 Oct 2010 01:04:19 -0500 Received: from relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (relay10.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.10]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9364IoU018475 for ; Sun, 3 Oct 2010 01:04:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9364Cus011590 for ; Sun, 3 Oct 2010 01:04:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 11236405006D; Sun, 3 Oct 2010 01:04:11 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101003060412.11236405006D@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Oct 2010 01:04:11 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZOCT2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 116.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 114.7E, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING WITH FLARING AND UNORGANIZED CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS ALSO TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARD LAND, WHICH SHOULD DECREASE THE PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND AND THE UNORGANIZED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.