From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Oct 4 13:47:36 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o945lY1g004970 for ; Mon, 4 Oct 2010 13:47:35 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9450X52015825; Mon, 4 Oct 2010 00:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3724308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Mon, 4 Oct 2010 00:47:19 -0500 Received: from relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (relay04.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.5]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o945lD10019824 for ; Mon, 4 Oct 2010 00:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o945l6Bt008664 for ; Mon, 4 Oct 2010 00:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id C1A53405016D; Mon, 4 Oct 2010 00:47:06 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101004054706.C1A53405016D@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Oct 2010 00:47:06 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZOCT2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 108.OE, HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.8N 110.7E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE AND ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO AN UPPER LEVEL, MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. WHILE A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL IL-DEFINED AND IS TRACKING CLOSER TO LAND, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.