From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Wed Oct 13 14:14:31 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o9D6EUfp023915 for ; Wed, 13 Oct 2010 14:14:31 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9CKppN0017124; Wed, 13 Oct 2010 01:14:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3864314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Wed, 13 Oct 2010 01:14:18 -0500 Received: from relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (relay03.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.69]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9D6EGDj027396 for ; Wed, 13 Oct 2010 01:14:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9D6E9AK024691 for ; Wed, 13 Oct 2010 01:14:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 8738640501E7; Wed, 13 Oct 2010 01:14:08 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101013061408.8738640501E7@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Oct 2010 01:14:08 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZOCT2010// REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZOCT2010// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 140.8E, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 134.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 132.0E, APPROXIMATELY 315NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENSION TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.