From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Thu Oct 14 13:21:35 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o9E5LYoj021246 for ; Thu, 14 Oct 2010 13:21:34 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9E50e7m008887; Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:21:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 3881898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:21:12 -0500 Received: from relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (relay01.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.23]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9E5L9ea011595 for ; Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:21:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9E5L2i5027408 for ; Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 91C4F40501E6; Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:21:02 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101014052102.91C4F40501E6@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Oct 2010 00:21:02 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Western Pacific: Synoptic Discussion For The Marianas To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 703 FXPQ60 PGUM 140520 AFDPQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 320 PM CHST THU OCT 14 2010 .SYNOPSIS... TS MEGI IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES WSW OF GUAM AND MOVING OFF TO THE WNW...BUT ITS UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD SHIELD HAS EXPANDED BACK EAST OVER THE MARIANAS. RADAR SHOWS THE OUTERMOST RAINBAND OF MEGI ABOUT 140 MILES WEST OF GUAM...BUT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FOUND ACROSS THE MARIANAS WATERS. && .DISCUSSION... WITH TS MEGI MOVING OFF TO THE WEST...WEATHER ACROSS THE MARIANAS WILL SETTLE BACK DOWN TO TRADE WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. THE UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDINESS FROM MEGI SHOULD THIN OUT BY FRI MORNING...LEAVING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR MOST OF FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND. && .MARINE... AS MEGI INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SHOULD SEE SOME KIND OF WSW TO WEST SWELL BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND. WE SHOULD GET A BETTER HANDLE FRI AND SATURDAY AS MEGI ESTABLISHES A WIND FETCH HISTORY THAT WE CAN USE TO CALCULATE SWELL. FOR NOW...HAVE BROUGHT IN A WEST SWELL OF 2 FEET MON RISING TO 3 FEET MON NIGHT AND TUE. DEPENDING ON HOW STRONG/BIG MEGI GETS AND ON HOW FAST IT MOVES... THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR HIGH SURF THE LAST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... TO BE ADDED AFTER 5 PM. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... TO BE ADDED AFTER 5 PM. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ MIDDLEBROOKE/DEVITA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.