From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Oct 23 15:30:28 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o9N7URYO005198 for ; Sat, 23 Oct 2010 15:30:28 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9N5186J021767; Sat, 23 Oct 2010 02:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4007291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 23 Oct 2010 02:30:13 -0500 Received: from relay08.cites.uiuc.edu (relay08.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.9]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9N7UDvb001547 for ; Sat, 23 Oct 2010 02:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay08.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9N7U6Vt004211 for ; Sat, 23 Oct 2010 02:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 9854F108B0002; Sat, 23 Oct 2010 02:30:06 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101023073006.9854F108B0002@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Oct 2010 02:30:06 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w (megi) Warning Nr 042 To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list WTPN31 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MEGI) WARNING NR 042 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 15W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z --- NEAR 24.2N 117.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N 117.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 25.2N 117.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 26.2N 117.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230900Z POSITION NEAR 24.5N 117.7E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MEGI), HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KTS AND MADE LANDFALL NEAR XIAMEN, CHINA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR ANIMATION FROM TAIPEI, TAIWAN. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS FROM RJTD. TS MEGI IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT DRAGS NORTH OVER SOUTHEAST CHINA'S RUGGED TERRAIN THEN DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONI- TORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SIXTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.