From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Oct 31 14:10:38 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id o9V6AalV008145 for ; Sun, 31 Oct 2010 14:10:37 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9U0J48l000583; Sun, 31 Oct 2010 01:10:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4135961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 31 Oct 2010 01:10:20 -0500 Received: from relay02.cites.uiuc.edu (relay02.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.4]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9V6AJH6022229 for ; Sun, 31 Oct 2010 01:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay02.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9V6AD11001678 for ; Sun, 31 Oct 2010 01:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id BDBE0405001E; Sun, 31 Oct 2010 01:10:09 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101031061011.BDBE0405001E@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Oct 2010 01:10:09 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/310600ZOCT2010-010600ZNOV2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5N 108.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.4N 108.3E, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS, BUT IT STILL HAS YET TO ORGANIZE AROUND ANY ONE IDENTIFIABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN MULTISPECTRAL/MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE DISTURBANCE IS FAR REMOVED FROM THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS DUE TO ITS LOCATION WITHIN THE DEEP TROPICS. AS A RESULT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS AFFECTING DEVELOPMENT. A MORE RECENT 310218Z ASCAT PASS, THOUGH MISSING THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION, INDICATES THE MAIN AXIS OF THE TROUGH, IN WHICH THE DISTURBANCE LIES, RUNS WEST-TO-EAST ALONG 4.5N. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.