From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Nov 1 13:40:32 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oA15eV7s030924 for ; Mon, 1 Nov 2010 13:40:32 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id o9VN2xUT021767; Mon, 1 Nov 2010 00:40:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4153122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Mon, 1 Nov 2010 00:40:15 -0500 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oA15eFfV003391 for ; Mon, 1 Nov 2010 00:40:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oA15e9RH017886 for ; Mon, 1 Nov 2010 00:40:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id E4873405001F; Mon, 1 Nov 2010 00:40:06 -0500 (CDT) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101101054008.E4873405001F@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Nov 2010 00:40:06 -0500 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZNOV2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.4N 108.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.4N 104.7E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEGUN TO CROSS OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA TOWARDS THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN. DESPITE A PARTIAL 010157Z ASCAT PASS SUGGESTING THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS STRENGTHENED TO NEAR 20 KNOTS, CONVECTION REMAINS MODERATELY UNORGANIZED. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN APPROXIMATELY 03 MB OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ALONG EASTERN MALAYSIA (WMKN AND WMKD) AS THE DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE EAST, BUT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE IN GENERAL LIGHT AND OUT OF THE WEST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND NOW LAND, WILL LIKELY STALL CONSOLIDATION FOR THE REMAINDER OF ITS TIME IN PACIFIC WATERS. THE SYSTEM WILL BE REASSESSED AFTER ENTERING INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL AND TRANSFERRED TO THE ABIO10 BULLETIN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR AS IT CROSSES LAND INTO A BASIN WITH A HIGHER WARNING THRESHOLD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.