From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Nov 8 13:45:17 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oA85jFsB028209 for ; Mon, 8 Nov 2010 13:45:16 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oA7DHdNc028721; Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:45:02 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4259516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:45:02 -0600 Received: from relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (relay01.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.23]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oA85j2qS029927 for ; Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:45:02 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oA85it0u027994 for ; Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:45:02 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id A18F5405001E; Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:44:52 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101108054452.A18F5405001E@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:44:52 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Western Pacific: Synoptic Discussion For The Marianas To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 157 FXPQ60 PGUM 080544 AFDPQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 344 PM CHST MON NOV 8 2010 .SYNOPSIS... THE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE MARIANAS OVERNIGHT HAS MOVED WEST OF THE ISLANDS...AND ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE SHOWN ON RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. && .DISCUSSION... WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE TROUGH...MODELS ARE SHOWING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT WEEK. A TROUGH PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM ON WEDNESDAY MAY BRING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS...BUT AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE RESTRICTED TO SOUTH OF GUAM. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... KOSRAE AND POHNPEI ARE BEGINNING TO DRY OUT AS A TROUGH PULLS OUT TO THE WEST. HOWEVER...A BAND OF CONVECTION BEGINNING TO FORM EAST OF POHNPEI AND ACROSS THE MARSHALLS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS TO POHNPEI TUESDAY. MODELS KEEP KOSRAE DRY THROUGH THE WEEK WITH ALL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO THE NORTH. THE NARROW BAND OF CONVECTION MAY PERIODICALLY BRING HEAVY SHOWERS TO MAJURO OVERNIGHT WITH SHOWER COVERAGE INCREASING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER TROUGH OVER THE DATELINE PASSES OVER THE MARSHALLS. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED WITH THE TROUGH NEAR YAP AND PALAU BUT IS NOT WIDESPREAD SO ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TWO LOCATIONS AS THE TROUGH PUSHES WESTWARD. WINDS HAVE WEAKENED AS WELL WITH LIGHT WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS NOTED IN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS. STRONGER EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS SHOULD RESUME IN THE REGION BY TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT AS A TROUGH NEAR CHUUK APPROACHES...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH IT. FOR CHUUK...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. MODELS KEEP THE AREA DRIER TO CLOSE THE WEEK. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ MIDDLEBROOKE/W. AYDLETT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.