From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Nov 13 06:32:22 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oACMWK9Q022929 for ; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 06:32:21 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oACG5c3D006383; Fri, 12 Nov 2010 16:31:52 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4341295 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 12 Nov 2010 16:31:52 -0600 Received: from relay08.cites.uiuc.edu (relay08.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.9]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oACMVp1U024278 for ; Fri, 12 Nov 2010 16:31:51 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay08.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oACMVias022712 for ; Fri, 12 Nov 2010 16:31:51 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id BF963405001F; Fri, 12 Nov 2010 16:31:44 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101112223144.BF963405001F@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Nov 2010 16:31:44 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 405 WWPS21 NFFN 122100 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 12/2231 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED NEAR 14.0S 175.0E AT 122100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM, BUT HAS NOT INCREASED MUCH ELSEWHERE IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 850HPA. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF A 250 HPA SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT IN THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DIRECTION WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.