From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Nov 13 16:42:43 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAD8ggX8020081 for ; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 16:42:43 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAD35YOh006383; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 02:42:22 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4345632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 02:42:22 -0600 Received: from relay08.cites.uiuc.edu (relay08.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.9]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAD8gM15028879 for ; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 02:42:22 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay08.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAD8gFY4016908 for ; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 02:42:22 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id D4B4B405001E; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 02:42:15 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101113084215.D4B4B405001E@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Nov 2010 02:42:15 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 316 WWPS21 NFFN 130600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 13/0842 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED NEAR 15.0S 175.0E AT 130600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM, BUT HAS NOT INCREASED MUCH ELSEWHERE IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF A 250 HPA SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT IN THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DIRECTION WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.