From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Nov 14 07:03:35 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oADN3XtD030687 for ; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 07:03:34 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oACARZqu016961; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 17:03:18 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4351071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 17:03:18 -0600 Received: from relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (relay03.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.69]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oADN3IUu019845 for ; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 17:03:18 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oADN3Buv007053 for ; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 17:03:17 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 73FD74050030; Sat, 13 Nov 2010 17:03:11 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101113230311.73FD74050030@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Nov 2010 17:03:11 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 881 WWPS21 NFFN 132100 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 13/2302 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED NEAR 16.0S 176.0E AT 132100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM, BUT HAS NOT INCREASED MUCH ELSEWHERE IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF A 250 HPA SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT IN THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DIRECTION WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.