From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Nov 14 16:42:47 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAE8gkml014472 for ; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:42:46 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAD35Y3D006383; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 02:42:29 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4354319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 02:42:29 -0600 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAE8gTeA017266 for ; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 02:42:29 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAE8gM7q012434 for ; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 02:42:28 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 670D1405001E; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 02:42:22 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101114084222.670D1405001E@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Nov 2010 02:42:22 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 383 WWPS21 NFFN 140600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 14/0842 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED NEAR 17.0S 176.0E AT 140600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED AND CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT SOUTH INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING SHEAR WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.