From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Nov 15 06:58:08 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAEMw6cF024384 for ; Mon, 15 Nov 2010 06:58:07 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAEBHv3k006383; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:57:53 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4362031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:57:53 -0600 Received: from relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (relay10.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.10]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAEMvrRc012234 for ; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:57:53 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAEMvk76001454 for ; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:57:52 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 9ED0B108B0001; Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:57:46 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101114225746.9ED0B108B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Nov 2010 16:57:46 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 307 WWPS21 NFFN 142100 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 14/2257 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED NEAR 18.0S 175.0E AT 142100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED AND CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 850HPA. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT SOUTH-SOUTHWEST INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING SHEAR WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.