From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Nov 20 07:05:27 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAJN5Q1d029022 for ; Sat, 20 Nov 2010 07:05:27 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAJ60oxN000834; Fri, 19 Nov 2010 17:05:14 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4437981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 19 Nov 2010 17:05:13 -0600 Received: from relay09.cites.uiuc.edu (relay09.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.86]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAJN5DTd026159 for ; Fri, 19 Nov 2010 17:05:13 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay09.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAJN57JM001377 for ; Fri, 19 Nov 2010 17:05:13 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 2D15D405001F; Fri, 19 Nov 2010 17:05:07 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101119230507.2D15D405001F@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Nov 2010 17:05:07 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 568 WWPS21 NFFN 192100 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 19/2304 UTC 2010 UTC. Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W issued from RSMC NADI Apr 20/2300 utc 2010. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1009 HPA] WAS LOCATED NEAR 14S 177W AT 202100 UTC BASED ON GOES VIS IMAGERY AND ANIMATON. TD IS CURRENTLY SLOW MOVING BUT LATER IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD. SST AROUND 30C. SYSTEM STILL REMAINS POORLY ORGANISED WITH MAJOR CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF CENTRE. 1000-250 HPA SHEAR ESTIMATED AROUND 15 KNOTS AROUND CENTRE. SYSTEM LIES IN AREA OF UPPER AIR DIVERGENCE AND AN UPPER OUTFLOW CENTRE. GLOBAL MODELS PICKS UP THE SYSTEM WHILE MOVING IT SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HRS REMAINS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.