From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sun Nov 21 16:16:24 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAL8GNeH005145 for ; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:16:24 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAK3TGoF000834; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:16:12 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4448375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:16:12 -0600 Received: from relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (relay10.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.10]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAL8GCXX002934 for ; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:16:12 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAL8G5o0011007 for ; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:16:12 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id C1EEB405001E; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:16:05 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101121081605.C1EEB405001E@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Nov 2010 02:16:05 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 517 WWPS21 NFFN 210600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 21/0815 UTC 2010 UTC. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1006 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 15.3S 178.0W AT 210600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATON AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30C. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED MUCH IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN SECTORS FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTH BUT REMAINS SUPRESSED ELSEWHERE IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES IN AN AREA OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE GRADUALLY MOVING IT SOUTH INTO AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.