From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Nov 22 06:43:21 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oALMhJ2x002213 for ; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 06:43:20 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oALCcKmB000834; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:43:10 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4455685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:43:10 -0600 Received: from relay09.cites.uiuc.edu (relay09.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.86]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oALMh9Bj027385 for ; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:43:09 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay09.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oALMh3vQ021289 for ; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:43:09 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 172B6405001F; Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:43:03 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101121224303.172B6405001F@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Nov 2010 16:43:03 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 351 WWPS21 NFFN 212100 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 21/2242 UTC 2010 UTC. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1007 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 16.1S 178.0W AT 212100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATON AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30C. SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANISED. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN SECTORS FROM NORTH TO SOUTHEAST BUT REMAINS SUPRESSED ELSEWHERE. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A 250 RIDGE AXIS AND IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND ARE GRADUALLY MOVING IT SOUTHEAST INTO AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.