From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Mon Nov 22 16:47:09 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAM8l890019530 for ; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 16:47:09 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oALCcK6m000834; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 02:46:50 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4459863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 02:46:49 -0600 Received: from relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (relay03.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.69]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAM8knAl000611 for ; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 02:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather.admin.niu.edu (weather.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.47]) by relay03.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAM8kgle000994 for ; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 02:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 25D952290011; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 02:46:42 -0600 (CST) X-Spam-Score: 1 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=1 spamscore=1 ipscore=0 suspectscore=3 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1011220008 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: * Message-ID: <20101122084642.25D952290011@weather.admin.niu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Nov 2010 02:46:42 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 209 WWPS21 NFFN 220600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 22/0846 UTC 2010 UTC. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1005 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 17.0S 178.0W AT 220600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATON AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30C. SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANISED. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN SECTORS FROM NORTH TO SOUTHEAST BUT REMAINS SUPRESSED ELSEWHERE. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A 250 RIDGE AXIS AND IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND ARE GRADUALLY MOVING IT SOUTHEAST INTO AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.