From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Tue Nov 23 07:46:00 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAMNjw9d021062 for ; Tue, 23 Nov 2010 07:45:59 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAMMfLC3000834; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 17:45:27 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4470734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 17:45:27 -0600 Received: from relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (relay04.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.5]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAMNjQnj015686 for ; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 17:45:27 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAMNjKI7000262 for ; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 17:45:26 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 446544050022; Mon, 22 Nov 2010 17:45:20 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101122234520.446544050022@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Nov 2010 17:45:20 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 562 WWPS21 NFFN 222300 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 22/2345 UTC 2010 UTC. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1008 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 19.0S 177.5W AT 221800 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATON AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 28C. SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANISED. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN SECTORS FROM NORTH TO SOUTHEAST BUT REMAINS SUPRESSED ELSEWHERE. SYSTEM LIES UNDER 250HPA RIDGE AND IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND ARE GRADUALLY MOVING IT SOUTHEAST INTO AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.