From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Wed Nov 24 07:01:23 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oANN1L5C008202 for ; Wed, 24 Nov 2010 07:01:23 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oANHkvep000834; Tue, 23 Nov 2010 17:01:00 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4488270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Tue, 23 Nov 2010 17:00:59 -0600 Received: from relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (relay01.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.23]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oANN0xCT002631 for ; Tue, 23 Nov 2010 17:00:59 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather.admin.niu.edu (weather.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.47]) by relay01.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oANN0rt6005151 for ; Tue, 23 Nov 2010 17:00:59 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id DC5EF2290011; Tue, 23 Nov 2010 17:00:52 -0600 (CST) X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-Details: rule=no-quarantine_notspam policy=no-quarantine score=0 spamscore=0 ipscore=0 suspectscore=3 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx engine=5.0.0-1005130000 definitions=main-1011230182 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.admin.niu.edu X-Spam-Bar: Message-ID: <20101123230052.DC5EF2290011@weather.admin.niu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Nov 2010 17:00:52 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 153 WWPS21 NFFN 232300 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 23/2300 UTC 2010 UTC. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1007 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 21.5S 175.5W AT 232100 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATON AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 26C. CONVECTION HAS BEEN IRREGULAR NEAR THE LLCC FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS. GLOBAL MODELS MOVES THE SYSTEM SOUTHEAST INTO AN AREA OF COOLER SST. THE SYSTEM WILL NOT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE, THERE WILL BE NORE MORE FORECAST FOR THIS SYSTEM. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1007 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 14.8S 168.8E AT 232100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29C. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLTY IMPROVED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT BUT HAS NOT INCREASED MUCH IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 500 HPA. SYSTEM LIES UNDER THE 250HPA RIDGE AXIS AND ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.