From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Fri Nov 26 08:06:57 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAQ06txa001391 for ; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 08:06:56 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAPHiLKt000834; Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:06:40 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4508825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:06:40 -0600 Received: from relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (relay07.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.73]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAQ06eXb020818 for ; Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:06:40 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay07.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAQ06XXL009579 for ; Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:06:40 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id B986B144B0001; Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:06:33 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101126000633.B986B144B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:06:33 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 745 WWPS21 NFFN 260000 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 26/0006 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD01F [1005 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 15.2S 167.0E AT 252100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY IMPROVED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND REMAINS PERSISTANT IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 500 HPA. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF AN UPPER TROUGH AND ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVING IT EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE TO HIGH. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.