From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Fri Nov 26 16:03:38 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oAQ83aha014680 for ; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 16:03:37 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAPHiLT1000834; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 02:03:25 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4510945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 02:03:25 -0600 Received: from relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (relay05.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.40]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAQ83Pah011642 for ; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 02:03:25 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oAQ83IVZ019227 for ; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 02:03:24 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id A79153FE0858; Fri, 26 Nov 2010 02:03:18 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101126080318.A79153FE0858@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Nov 2010 02:03:18 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 719 WWPS21 NFFN 260600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 26/0802 UTC 2010 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD01F [1003HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 16.0S 170.8E AT 260600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION WAS RESTRICTED ON THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM BUT HAS NOT INCREASED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 500 HPA. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF AN UPPER TROUGH AND ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVING IT EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION. POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE TO HIGH. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.