From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Thu Dec 2 13:51:54 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oB25prOb016713 for ; Thu, 2 Dec 2010 13:51:54 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oB1KDth8000834; Wed, 1 Dec 2010 23:51:39 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4587473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Wed, 1 Dec 2010 23:51:39 -0600 Received: from relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (relay04.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.5]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oB25pdYk005097 for ; Wed, 1 Dec 2010 23:51:39 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oB25pW1F012486 for ; Wed, 1 Dec 2010 23:51:39 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id DE5283FE0877; Wed, 1 Dec 2010 23:51:32 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101202055132.DE5283FE0877@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Dec 2010 23:51:32 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Western Pacific: Synoptic Discussion For The Marianas To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 208 FXPQ60 PGUM 020551 AFDPQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 351 PM CHST THU DEC 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... PGUA WSR-88D SHOWS ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE MARIANAS WATERS. SATELLITE SHOWS SCATTERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS EASTWARD TO PAST 170E. && .DISCUSSION... DRY WEATHER LOOKS SET TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. THE MODELS SHOW ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. THERE IS EVIDENCE THAT DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF DECEMBER. INHERITED GRIDS REFLECTED THIS SO ONLY SLIGHT TWEAKING WAS NECESSARY. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... A TRADE-WIND DISTURBANCE WITH DEEP CONVECTION JUST SW OF POHNPEI IS DRIFTING TOWARD W-SW. A WEAK SHEAR LINE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS WIGGLES ACROSS THE AREA FROM 9N180 TO 7N170E TO NEAR 8N160E. LOW PRESSURE NEAR 20N178E IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. MODELS INDICATE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS AREA WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS THRU THE LONGER TERM. MAJURO BUOY KALO SHOWS NE WAVES 5FT/11SEC. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... DEEP CONVECTION FROM JUST SW OF POHNPEI TO JUST SOUTH OF CHUUK IS MOVING SLOWLY W-SW AND COULD AFFECT CHUUK MARINE ZONE OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. A PATTERN OF WEAK L-L CONVERGENCE AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE PERSISTS OVER FAR WESTERN MICRONESIA AND A FEW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE DISTURBANCE NEAR CHUUK WILL GRADUALLY MOVE W-SW AND COULD TRIGGER SHOWERS NEAR PALAU LATE FRIDAY OR SAT. OTHERWISE...LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR THIS AREA THROUGH THE LONGER TERM. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ DEVITA/SIMPSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.