From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Wed Dec 15 03:50:29 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oBEJoRjW030022 for ; Wed, 15 Dec 2010 03:50:28 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBEHsbNK027712; Tue, 14 Dec 2010 13:50:01 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4768677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Tue, 14 Dec 2010 13:50:01 -0600 Received: from relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (relay10.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.10]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBEJo1IC003897 for ; Tue, 14 Dec 2010 13:50:01 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay10.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBEJnsn2026764 for ; Tue, 14 Dec 2010 13:50:01 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id DC47B3FE0853; Tue, 14 Dec 2010 13:49:54 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101214194954.DC47B3FE0853@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Dec 2010 13:49:54 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Western Pacific: Synoptic Discussion For The Marianas To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 308 FXPQ60 PGUM 141949 AFDPQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 600 AM CHST TUE DEC 14 2010 .SYNOPSIS... A SEASONABLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE MARIANA ISLANDS WITH JUST A FEW PASSING SHOWERS EXPECTED. MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW WILL PROVIDE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR BOTH EASTERN AND WESTERN MICRONESIA. && .DISCUSSION... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BASICALLY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE MARIANA ISLANDS WITH WITH JUST A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY MAINLY SOUTH OF GUAM. AN AREA OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH IS SEEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FEATURE WEAKENING BUT ITS ASSOCIATED SHOWER AREA MAY BRUSH BY PORTIONS OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MAINLY FROM SAIPAN NORTH. OTHERWISE SKIES WILL BE GENERALLY FAIR AND SHOWER ACTIVITY RATHER SPARSE. && .MARINE... SMALL...MAINLY SHORT PERIOD SWELLS FROM BOTH THE NORTH AND EAST... CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH A SMALL NORTHWEST SWELL EXPECTED TO FILL IN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE EASTERLY AT 10 TO 15 KT. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED IN LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE KWAJALEIN RADAR SHOWS LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY. SATELLITE DERIVED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN ON THE HIGH SIDE. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN KEEPING THIS AREA OF MOISTURE IN THE AREA. THUS EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... A WEAK LOW LEVEL TROUGH NEAR CHUUK AND POHNPEI WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN HIGH IN THE AREA SO PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. MODELS KEEP HIGH AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE IN THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND SO LITTLE CHANGE IN YOUR WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.