From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Thu Dec 16 03:48:06 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oBFJm3QZ025800 for ; Thu, 16 Dec 2010 03:48:06 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBFHoBOK027712; Wed, 15 Dec 2010 13:47:40 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4780396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Wed, 15 Dec 2010 13:47:39 -0600 Received: from relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (relay05.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.40]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBFJldS8005543 for ; Wed, 15 Dec 2010 13:47:39 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBFJlX8t029497 for ; Wed, 15 Dec 2010 13:47:39 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 04AC4144B0001; Wed, 15 Dec 2010 13:47:32 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101215194733.04AC4144B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Dec 2010 13:47:32 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Western Pacific: Synoptic Discussion For The Marianas To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 835 FXPQ60 PGUM 151947 AFDPQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 547 AM CHST THU DEC 16 2010 .SYNOPSIS... GENTLE TRADES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE MARIANAS. && .DISCUSSION... MODELS KEEP QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. GENTLE TRADES SHOULD BECOME MODERATE AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDS. OTHERWISE...JUST ISOLATED SHOWERS. && .MARINE/SURF... SEAS SHOULD RISE OVER THE WEEKEND AS NE SWELL SLOWLY INCREASES AND A NEW NW-N SWELL COMES IN SATURDAY AND INCREASES SUNDAY. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS FORMING ALONG AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT KOSRAE WATERS THIS MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...RELATIVELY DRY AND UNEVENTFUL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS HINT AT ANOTHER SHEAR LINE APPROACHING THE MARSHALLS MONDAY...BUT LIMITED MOISTURE AND CONTINUED SUBSIDENCE ALOFT SHOULD PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE OVER PALAU WILL PROMOTE LIMITED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT DESPITE AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH PASSING THRU THE REGION. ANOTHER TROUGH WEST OF CHUUK WILL BE THE FOCUS OF CONVECTION BUT SHOWER COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED AT YAP AND KOROR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE TROUGH PROGRESSES WESTWARD. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST FOR CHUUK AS WELL AS MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ MIDDLEBROOKE/WILLIAMS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.