From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Sat Dec 18 17:13:48 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oBI9DkDa008624 for ; Sat, 18 Dec 2010 17:13:47 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBI60DKf027712; Sat, 18 Dec 2010 03:13:34 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4812937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Sat, 18 Dec 2010 03:13:34 -0600 Received: from relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (relay05.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.4.40]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBI9DXcP005080 for ; Sat, 18 Dec 2010 03:13:33 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay05.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBI9DRJQ016151 for ; Sat, 18 Dec 2010 03:13:33 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 48AEF144B0001; Sat, 18 Dec 2010 03:13:27 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101218091327.48AEF144B0001@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Dec 2010 03:13:27 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: LDM Weather Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list 112 WWPS21 NFFN 180900 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 18/0913 UTC 2010 UTC. LOW L [1006 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 11.7S 160.4E AT 180600 UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30C. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY IMPROVED IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE LAST 24 HRS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 700 HPA. SYSTEM LIES ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH AND AN UPPER TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVING IT NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HRS IS LOW. NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.