From owner-wx-tropl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Fri Dec 24 18:35:07 2010 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by cozumel.ust.hk (8.13.8/8.13.8) with ESMTP id oBOAZ5Eg018666 for ; Fri, 24 Dec 2010 18:35:06 +0800 Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBO9kcQe020381; Fri, 24 Dec 2010 04:34:13 -0600 (CST) Received: by LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.5) with spool id 4859539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU; Fri, 24 Dec 2010 04:34:13 -0600 Received: from relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (relay04.cites.uiuc.edu [128.174.196.5]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.14.2/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBOAYC6D022553 for ; Fri, 24 Dec 2010 04:34:12 -0600 (CST) Received: from weather3.admin.niu.edu (weather3.admin.niu.edu [131.156.8.48]) by relay04.cites.uiuc.edu (8.14.4/8.14.2) with ESMTP id oBOAY6J3000459 for ; Fri, 24 Dec 2010 04:34:12 -0600 (CST) Received: by weather3.admin.niu.edu (Postfix, from userid 501) id 70663144B0002; Fri, 24 Dec 2010 04:34:05 -0600 (CST) X-Proofpoint-Spam-Reason: safe Message-ID: <20101224103406.70663144B0002@weather3.admin.niu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Dec 2010 04:34:05 -0600 Reply-To: wxmaster@COX.NET Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU Precedence: list ABPW10 PGTW 241030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/241030Z-250600ZDEC2010// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.1S 149.7E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF MODERATE TO DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FLARE ABOUT A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OFF THE COAST OF QUEENSLAND. A 240753Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS PRIMITIVE BANDING FEEDING INTO AN EASILY IDENTIFIABLE LLCC. AUSTRALIAN RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF TURNING OUTLINED BY MODERATE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SOMEWHERE BETWEEN BOUGAINVILLE AND HOLMES REEF. HOWEVER, OBSERVATIONS FROM THESE SITES DO NOT SUPPORT A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DUE TO A LACK OF SURFACE WESTERLIES. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE HAS ALSO FALLEN 3 TO 6 MB IN THE REGION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND HAS STEADIED NEAR 1000 MB. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED THE AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AS FAIR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to cnovy@cox.net. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.