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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Sat, 1 Jan 2022 22:14:35 +0000
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897 
FZPN01 KWBC 012214
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC SAT JAN 01 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JAN 01. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JAN 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 59N145W 971 MB MOVING S 15 KT. FROM 52N TO 59N BETWEEN 150W
AND 161W WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30
NM EITHER SIDE OF A FRONT EXTENDING FROM 53N130W TO 49N128W AND
WITHIN 660 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.
OTHERWISE N OF A LINE FROM 47N124W TO 41N146W TO 51N169W WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N142W 978 MB. WITHIN 600 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 32 FT...HIGHEST SW QUADRANT.
ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 420 NM AND 1020 NM E...WITHIN 1020 NM SE...AND
480 NM N QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 840 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 49N134W 985 MB.
WITHIN 780 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE N OF 51N BETWEEN 150W AND 170W...AND FROM 54N TO 58N E
OF 144W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 8 TO 16 FT
IN THE BERING SEA.

...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 47N168E 988 MB MOVING NW 30
KT AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 44N168E 988 MB MOVING N 30 KT. WITHIN
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE FIRST CENTER WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 TO 34
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 51N BETWEEN 176W AND 166E...AND WITHIN
240 NM E OF A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SECOND CENTER TO 36N172E
TO 30N170E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 59N159E 986 MB. N
OF 54N W OF 170W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 24 FT...HIGHEST W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS NW OF AREA.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 31N168W 993 MB MOVING NW 30 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND E
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N
TO 37N BETWEEN 157W AND 174W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N170W 989 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N176W 984 MB. WITHIN 420 NM N AND NE OF A
LINE FROM 54N169E TO 45N178E TO THE LOW TO 35N163W WINDS 40 TO 55
KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 660 NM N AND NE OF THE
LINE...AND FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 155W AND 164W WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 9 TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N168E 991 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 600 NM
NE QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
840 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 39N163E 995 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 160E
AND 170E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N166E 988 MB. FROM 30N TO 42N BETWEEN
160E AND 168E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N174E 987 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SW AND 360 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
900 NM S...840 NM SW...AND 660 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N178E 980 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S AND 360 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
960 NM S AND 600 NM W QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 780 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 52N172E TO 43N174W...AND FROM 30N TO 43N BETWEEN 151W AND
159W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 37N178W 1002 MB MOVING NW 35 KT. WITHIN 480 NM N QUADRANT
WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 840 NM NE
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH
LOW 42N176W.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 57N158E 971 MB MOVING W 10 KT. N OF 51N W OF
178W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 30 FT...HIGHEST W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS WELL NW OF AREA.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N165E 996 MB. W OF A LINE FROM 48N160E TO
44N165E TO THE LOW TO 32N169E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24
FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N150W TO
54N152W TO 55N160W TO 60N171W TO 63N173W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N147W TO 54N149W TO
53N158W TO 60N179W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 59N138W TO 59N150W TO 55N155W TO 58N167W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N136W TO 58N148W TO
50N150W TO 55N167W TO 61N176W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 57N136W TO 59N146W TO 55N157W TO 58N170W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 55N133W TO 57N150W TO
50N150W TO 55N170W TO 61N177W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO (AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E) LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.LOW 32N175W 1000 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. FROM 30N TO 33N BETWEEN
175W AND 179E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

.FROM 30N TO 38N E OF 127W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 120 NM E OF A
LINE FROM 50N166E TO 45N166E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 59N BETWEEN 137W AND
152W...AND FROM 46N TO 56N BETWEEN 169E AND 176E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 58N BETWEEN 143W AND
157W...WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 42N168W TO 46N176E...AND
WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 50N180W TO 51N175E TO 55N171E.

.HIGH 36N136W 1027 MB MOVING SE 20 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N127W 1026 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 30N129W 1028 MB.

.HIGH 55N172W 1038 MB MOVING NE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 32N143W 1024 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N140W 1025 MB.

.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JAN 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JAN  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JAN  3.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 
30 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N96W TO 
15N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 12N97W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N94W TO 
10N96W TO 12N100W TO 16N95W TO 15N93W TO 12N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 13N93W TO 12N94W TO 13N98W TO 15N96W TO 15N93W TO 13N93W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 26N115W TO 22N119W TO 26N121W TO 30N126W TO 29N118W TO
26N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
WITHIN 15N124W TO 12N135W TO 14N140W TO 22N140W TO 17N124W TO
15N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND NE
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N126W TO 13N140W TO 18N140W TO 
19N131W TO 16N116W TO 13N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N127W TO 18N131W TO 19N138W TO 
20N132W TO 20N127W TO 15N127W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 
FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N117W TO 17N134W TO 16N140W TO 
22N140W TO 21N128W TO 14N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED N AND E SWELL. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N105W TO 19N106W TO 20N106W TO
19N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N110W TO 25N110W 
TO 24N110W TO 26N111W TO 29N113W TO 26N110W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 25N109W TO 23N109W 
TO 24N110W TO 29N113W TO 25N109W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2040 UTC SAT JAN 1...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N75W TO 09.5N84W TO 09N104W. 
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N110W TO 09N124W TO 11.5N135W TO BEYOND 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N 
TO 17N BETWEEN 119W AND 140W.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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