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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Sun, 2 Jan 2022 16:22:43 +0000
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965 
FZPN01 KWBC 021622
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC SUN JAN 02 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JAN 02. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 55N146W 979 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 480 NM W
QUADRANT WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 10 TO 31 FT...HIGHEST S OF 56N.
ALSO WITHIN 780 NM S...AND 660 NM W QUADRANTS...AND N OF 57N E OF
154W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 30 FT...LOWEST N OF 57N.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1140 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 720 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N137W 982 MB. FROM 54N TO 61N BETWEEN
158W AND 150W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ALSO N OF 54N
E OF 154W...AND WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 37N123W TO
37N144W TO 57N172W TO 61N164W TO 60N151W TO 49N142W TO 49N123W TO
37N123W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 50N E
OF 150W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 52N136W 1000 MB
AND NEW SECOND CENTER 53N150W 997 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
OF MAIN CENTER...AND FROM 53N TO 58N E OF 160W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 50 N BETWEEN 150W AND 122W
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT IN MIXED SWELL...EXCEPT
WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW WITH LOW 42N142W.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 39N173W 991 MB MOVING NW 25 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 26 FT. ALSO WITHIN 540 NM N...600
NM E...AND WITHIN 540 NM NE OF A LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 30N164W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 42N
BETWEEN 180W AND 160W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT IN MIXED
SWELL...EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N177E 986 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 42N178W TO 54N169E TO 61N177W TO 39N153W
TO 42N178W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 54N163E 999 MB. FROM 52N TO
62N BETWEEN 166E AND 164W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22
FT...EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 40N169E 990 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 360 NM SW...AND 300
NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 720 NM S...AND 600 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N178E 984 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 53N166E TO LOW CENTER TO 38N166W TO
30N166W TO 30N167E TO 53N166E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 45N176W AND NEW
SECOND CENTER 47N177E 985 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF MAIN
AND SECOND CENTER...AND WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT OF SECOND
CENTER WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N174E TO 52N165E TO 52N170E TO 44N154W
TO 30N161W TO 30N174E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 25 FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 38N162E 1001 MB. S OF 46N W OF 163E
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 45N176W
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW W OF AREA NEAR 39N159E 990 MB. S OF 44N
W OF 164E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 61N176W TO
53N153W TO 59N150W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 59N E OF 160E...AND N OF A LINE FROM 51N149W TO 61N176W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 61N176W TO 53N153W TO 59N150W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE
FREEZING
SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N135W TO 57N150W TO 51N154W TO 61N176W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WITHIN COOK
INLET...AND N OF A LINE FROM 54N157W TO 55N170W TO 61N176W.
ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM
54N130W TO 58N146W TO 51N162W TO 60N179W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO (AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E) LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO...ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.NOVARUPTA VOLCANO LOCATED NEAR 58N155W IS CURRENTLY
EXPERIENCING
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. MARINERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE VOLCANO
SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION. PLEASE REPORT ANY OBSERVATIONS OF VOLCANIC ASH
OR FLOATING VOLCANIC DEBRIS TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY
CALLING 301 683 1520.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 42N142W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE...AND
600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 47N TO 55N
BETWEEN 170E AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 56N BETWEEN 167E AND
180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN FROM 45N TO 53N BETWEEN 166E
AND 173W.

.HIGH 33N145W 1024 MB MOVING SE 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 33N126W 1025 MB MOVING SW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH S OF AREA.

.HIGH 64N170W 1045 MB MOVING NE 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MERGED WITH HIGH INLAND OVER ALASKA.

.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JAN 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JAN  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JAN  4.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.15 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15.5N NW TO N WINDS 
30 TO 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO 
15N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 15N94W NORTHERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N96W TO 
12N98W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 14N93W TO 11N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N95W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N94W TO 
12N97W TO 13N99W TO 14N97W TO 16N94W TO 13N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 15 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 09N92W TO 07N100W TO 10N105W TO 15N99W TO 15N94W TO 09N92W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 11N125W TO 13N140W TO 19N140W TO 17N133W TO 16N117W TO
11N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND E
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N126W TO 17N128W TO 18N130W TO 
19N129W TO 19N128W TO 17N126W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N119W TO 18N135W TO 
17N140W TO 21N140W TO 22N131W TO 14N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N135W TO 19N138W TO 21N140W TO 
20N138W TO 21N136W TO 20N135W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 
FT IN N SWELL. WITHIN 16N127W TO 14N128W TO 17N131W TO 19N130W TO
19N128W TO 16N127W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT IN
N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N118W TO 17N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N128W TO 24N129W TO 12N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED N AND E SWELL. 

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N110W TO 25N110W TO 23N109W TO 
24N110W TO 29N113W TO 26N110W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N110W TO 25N111W 
TO 28N113W TO 29N112W TO 27N111W TO 26N110W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N110W TO 26N111W TO 
27N111W TO 27N110W TO 26N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NW SWELL. 
.33 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO 12N87W TO
11N86W TO 10N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N88W TO 10N89W TO 11N89W TO 11N86W TO
10N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N89W TO 10N90W TO 11N90W TO
10N89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC SUN JAN 2...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09.5N74W TO 08.5N96W TO
06.5N100W.
ITCZ EXTEND FROM 06.5N100W TO 06N113W TO 09N122W TO BEYOND
09.5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08.5N TO 17.5N 
BETWEEN 127W AND 133.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07.5N
TO 11N W OF 134W.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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