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Subject: Indian-N: Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre-tropical Cyclones, New 
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WTIN20 DEMS 030600

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.01.2022
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
03.01.2022 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 03.01.2022.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) &
ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTHEAST SRILANKA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
REMARKS:
NIL
PAGE 2
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER
COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS
NO CYCLOGENESIS OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
DURING NEXT 24 HOURS=

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