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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220103102251.440401C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 3 Jan 2022 10:22:51 +0000
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791 
FZPN01 KWBC 031022
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC MON JAN 03 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JAN 03. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JAN 05.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
. COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 49N141W 982 MB MOVING SE TO E 20
KT AND SECOND CENTER 51N145W 984 MB ROTATING SW TO SE 25 KT.
WITHIN 480 NM NW AND W OF A FRONT EXTENDING FROM 57N148W TO
54N149W TO 51N148W TO MAIN CENTER...AND WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A
FRONT EXTENDING FROM 58N141W TO 57N137W...AND WITHIN 120 NM SE OF
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM 46N125W TO 43N126W TO 40N130W WINDS 40 TO
55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 29 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT OF
MAIN CENTER AND SE OF LAST FRONT. ELSEWHERE N OF 34N E OF
154W...AND N OF 50N BEWTEEN 154W AND 167W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
8 TO 18 FT...HIGHEST FROM 49N TO 57N BETWEEN 131W AND 146W IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 52N137W 992 MB AND
SECOND CENTER 50N129W 993 MB. N OF 30N E OF 139W...AND N OF 42N
BETWEEN 139W AND 151W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 23
FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 840 NM S QUADRANT OF SECOND CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 51N132W 1012 MB. N OF 44N E OF
138W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 42N175E 983 MB MOVING NE 10 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 46N179E 985 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. WITHIN 540 NM
S...AND 300 NM W QUADRANTS OF MAIN CENTER...AND WITHIN 420 NM N
AND NE QUADRANTS OF SECOND CENTER...AND WITHIN 300 NM NE OF A
FRONT EXTENDING FROM 46N178W TO 43N174W TO 41N169W TO 40N162W
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 53N W
OF 167W...AND FROM 30N TO 50N BETWEEN 153W AND 167W WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 24 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 960 NM SW QUADRANT OF
MAIN CENTER IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 43N180W 981 MB AND
SECOND CENTER 51N169E 989 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF MAIN
CENTER...AND WITHIN 540 NM NE AND N OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
SECOND CENTER TO 49N174E TO 45N168W...AND NW OF A LINE FROM
55N165W TO 59N162W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 32 FT...HIGHEST
S QUADRANT OF MAIN CENTER...AND N AND NE OF FRONT. ELSEWHERE N OF
39N W OF 178E...AND N OF 30N BETWEEN 158W AND 178E WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 26 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 660 NM SE QUADRANT OF MAIN
CENTER IN W SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 46N173W 975 MB AND
SECOND CENTER 38N167W 990 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E...240 NM S...AND
480 NM SW QUADRANTS OF SECOND CENTER...AND WITHIN 360 NM SE...420
NM S...480 NM SW QUADRANTS OF MAIN CENTER...AND WITHIN 780 NM NW
OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 47N173W TO 48N166W...AND WITHIN 540 NM
N OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 48N166W TO 49N158W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 26 FT...HIGHEST S QUADRANT OF MAIN CENTER. ELSEWHERE N
OF 47N W OF 177E...AND N OF 30N BETWEEN 157W AND 177E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 37N175E 999 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S...AND
300 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 30N TO 39N W OF 178E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS MERGED WITH LOW
46N173W DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...STORM WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 44N159E 968 MB. WITHIN 240
NM E QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
30N TO 47N W OF 177E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 20 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N145W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N
TO 43N BETWEEN 122W AND 157W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 22
FT...HIGHEST NEAR 41N133W IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 45N121W 1012 MB. FROM 30N TO
45N E OF 137W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 49N154W 990 MB. N OF 30N BETWEEN 137W
AND 159W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 61N176W TO
53N153W TO 59N150W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 59N E OF 160E...AND N OF A LINE FROM 51N149W TO 61N176W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE
FROM 61N176W TO 53N153W TO 59N150W. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE
FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 57N135W TO 57N150W TO 51N154W TO
61N176W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WITHIN COOK
INLET...AND N OF A LINE FROM 54N157W TO 55N170W TO 61N176W.
ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM
54N130W TO 58N146W TO 51N162W TO 60N179W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO (AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E) LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO...ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
49N127W TO 55N137W...AND FROM 50N TO 59N BETWEEN 144W AND
150W...AND FROM 40N TO 56N BETWEEN 179E AND 168E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 52N TO 57N BETWEEN 154W AND
159W...AND FROM 42N TO 55N BETWEEN 178W AND 164E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 53N BETWEEN 135W AND
152W...AND FROM 46N TO 53N BETWEEN 152W AND 176W...AND WITHIN 60
NM SW OF A LINE FROM 44N180W TO 48N173E TO 53N166E.

.HIGH 31N125W 1025 MB MOVING W 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N129W 1027 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N131W 1030 MB.

.FORECASTER FOLMER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JAN 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JAN  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JAN  5.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 16N94W TO 
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 40 
KT. SEAS T0 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N96W TO 15N94W TO 13N94W TO 
12N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
10N94W TO 09N99W TO 10N103W TO 15N96W TO 15N93W TO 10N94W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 12N98W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 07N95W TO 
07N100W TO 11N105W TO 13N99W TO 13N93W TO 07N95W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO
16N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 08N94W TO 07N102W TO
11N107W 
TO 12N101W TO 09N94W TO 08N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 14N122W TO 14N134W TO 15N137W TO 22N140W TO 21N127W TO
14N122W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E
SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N128W TO 16N131W TO 17N132W TO 18N131W
TO 18N128W TO 17N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N118W TO 11N128W TO 15N140W TO 
23N140W TO 23N129W TO 12N118W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N135W TO 28N137W TO 28N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N134W TO 29N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N131W TO 13N133W TO 21N138W TO 
21N132W TO 20N128W TO 12N131W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 08N122W TO 14N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N116W TO 21N123W TO 08N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 

.WITHIN 25N108W TO 23N109W TO 23N110W TO 28N113W TO 29N112W TO
25N108W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N89W TO 12N88W TO 12N87W TO
11N86W TO 10N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N86W TO 09N88W TO 10N90W TO 12N89W TO
12N87W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC MON JAN 3...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 06N95W. ITCZ FROM 06N95W TO 
08.5N11W TO 09N128W...AND FROM 09N132W TO BEYOND 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 128W 
AND 131W.

 
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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