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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Form Over West Rajasthan & Neighbourhood On 05th January, 2022. 
Message-ID: <20220103142927.8CF2A1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 3 Jan 2022 14:29:27 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 031200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 03-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN WESTERLIES IN LOWER & 
MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA 
LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.52°E TO THE NORTH OF LAT.30°N. 
UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION VERY LIKELY TO 
FORM OVER WEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD ON 05TH JANUARY, 2022.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD 
BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 2.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 AN INTENSE WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS VERY LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST 
INDIA FROM THE NIGHT OF 06TH JANUARY, 2022 ONWARDS. UNDER ITS 
INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER 
SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD ON 07TH JANUARY, 2022 (.)

RAINFALL FORECAST:-  

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, 
LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD; AT MANY PLACES OVER 
HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT A FEW PLACES OVER AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR 
ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND AND PUNJAB AND AT ISOLATED 
PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & 
TRIPURA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & 
DELHI, RAJASTHAN, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND TAMILNADU, 
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

03 JANUARY (DAY 1):  DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS 
VERY LIKELY OVER UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS 
OVER WEST ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND TRIPURA.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY 
LIKELY OVER EAST ARUNACHAL PRADESH, WEST ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND 
NAGALAND.

 STRONG WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY 
OVER GULF OF MANNAR AND COMORIN AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO 
VENTURE INTO THIS AREA (.)

04 JANUARY (DAY 2)  DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS 
VERY LIKELY OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED 
POCKETS OVER WEST ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND TRIPURA.

 HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER 
JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES 
VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & 
MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH (.)


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