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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Mon, 3 Jan 2022 16:22:40 +0000
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866 
FZPN01 KWBC 031622
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC MON JAN 03 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JAN 03. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 05.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 51N138W 983 MB MOVING NW 05 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 49N141W 986 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. FROM 41N TO 45N E
OF 126W...AND FROM 53N TO 62N BETWEEN 164W AND 151W WINDS 40 TO
50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE
FROM 37N123W TO 37N144W TO 50N158W TO 52N168W TO 61N169W TO
62N150W TO 51N144W TO 47N123W TO 37N123W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT...EXCEPT SEAS TO 12 FT N OF 59N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 52N141W 1000 MB
AND SECOND CENTER 51N130W 1000 MB. WITHIN 420 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF
MAIN CENTER...AND WITHIN 180 NM OF SECOND CENTER WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 50N BETWEEN 150W AND
124W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT IN MIXED SWELL...EXCEPT
WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 42N176E 983 MB MOVING NE 05 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N167E TO 54N166E TO LOW CENTER TO
39N171W TO 30N168W TO 30N167E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 27
FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N177W 984 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 38N177E TO 30N175W TO 30N167W TO 42N170W
TO LOW CENTER TO 50N168E TO 46N163E TO 38N177E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N171W 976 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A
LINE FROM 30N170W TO 51N162E TO 63N174W TO 56N164W TO 30N160W TO
30N170W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 24 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 40N161E 1000 MB MOVING SE 35 KT. S OF 40N W OF 163E WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N180W 998 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM
E...360 NM S...AND 480 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12
TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 45N171W
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 37N158E 990 MB. S OF 40N W OF 164E
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N162E 969 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS
18 TO 23 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N158E 970 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 50N W OF 165E
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 48N177E 986 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. WITHIN 420 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 54N167W TO 61N177W TO
39N154W TO 42N174W TO LOW CENTER WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 52N164E 992 MB. ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS DESCRIBED BELOW WITH LOW 48N174E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 48N174E 986 MB. WITHIN 960 NM N...720
NM NE...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 45N171W
DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 53N156W 1000 MB. WITHIN 360 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 50N160W
DESCRIBED BELOW.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 41N138W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE FROM 40N149W TO
30N153W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 45N165W 988 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY
A LINE FROM 30N166W TO 48N169W TO 44N151W TO 30N163W TO 30N166W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N160W 984 MB. FROM 48N TO 56N BETWEEN
165W AND 138W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT...EXCEPT WHERE
DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOW 45N171W.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 41N170E 984 MB. S OF A LINE FROM
50N165E TO 38N179W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 56N135W TO
59N146W TO 52N158W TO 60N178W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WITHIN COOK
INLET...AND N OF A LINE FROM 60N180W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 45N147W 996 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY
A LINE FROM 30N153W TO 47N148W TO 46N133W TO 30N145W TO 30N153W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO (AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E) LOCATED 140
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO...ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
49N127W TO 55N137W...AND FROM 50N TO 59N BETWEEN 144W AND
150W...AND FROM 40N TO 56N BETWEEN 179E AND 168E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 55N BETWEEN 154W AND
162E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 52N BETWEEN 152W AND
132W...AND FROM 43N TO 52N BETWEEN 152W AND 132W.

.HIGH 31N125W 1024 MB MOVING SW 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 30N129W 1028 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 30N131W 1029 MB.

.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JAN 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JAN  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JAN  5.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 
45 KT. SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N95W TO 11N97W TO 13N98W
TO 16N95W TO 14N93W TO 11N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO
16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N95W TO 
11N97W TO 12N99W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 12N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N92W TO 
08N95W TO 10N104W TO 12N103W TO 16N94W TO 10N92W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N95W TO 10N100W TO 11N102W TO 14N97W 
TO 16N95W TO 13N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N92W TO 
07N94W TO 07N102W TO 10N106W TO 15N94W TO 09N92W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. WITHIN 08N96W TO 05N102W TO 09N108W 
TO 11N107W TO 11N102W TO 08N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N110W TO 25N110W TO 28N113W TO 
29N113W TO 26N110W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 16N127W TO 16N128W TO 17N131W TO 18N130W TO 18N129W TO 
16N127W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N117W TO 13N130W TO 14N140W TO 22N140W TO 
23N133W TO 15N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
N AND E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N120W TO 12N130W TO 16N137W TO 
21N140W TO 21N128W TO 13N120W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N115W TO 08N128W TO 
14N140W TO 30N140W TO 13N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED N AND E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N123W TO 08N139W TO 30N140W TO 
30N116W TO 21N121W TO 08N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.WITHIN 02N131W TO 03N136W TO 02N140W TO 08N140W TO 02N131W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND SE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N88W TO 10N89W TO 11N90W TO 12N88W TO
11N86W TO 09N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N88W TO 10N89W TO 11N89W TO 11N88W TO
11N86W TO 10N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10.5N89W TO 
09.5N88.5W TO 09.5N89.5W TO 11.5N89.5W TO 11N88.5W TO 10.5N89W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING E AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC MON JAN 3...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09.5N76W TO 10.5N81W TO 06N98W. 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N98W TO 08.5N113W TO 10N131W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM 10N134W TO BEYOND 09.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
FROM 03.5N TO 06.5N E OF 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 07.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 122W AND 140W.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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