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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Message-ID: <20220104162453.4781D1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Tue, 4 Jan 2022 16:24:53 +0000
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724 
FZPN01 KWBC 041624
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC TUE JAN 04 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JAN 04. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JAN 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA 37N159E 992 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SE
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N162E 980 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N161E 970 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW CENTER
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 45N158E 972 MB. N OF 36N W OF
163E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N164E 977 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 39N W OF 175E
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. ALSO S OF 41N W OF 176E
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 44N178W 982 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 360 NM SE...480 NM SW
QUADRANTS...FROM 44N TO 48N BETWEEN 178E AND 166E... AND N OF 46N
BETWEEN 166W AND 176E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24
FT...EXCEPT SW QUADRANT SEAS 15 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 47N
BETWEEN 151W AND 178W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 48N170W 976 MB.
WITHIN 540 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO
24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 49N TO 57N BETWEEN 137W AND 165W AND N OF
49N W OF 165W AND FROM 30N TO TO 44N BETWEEN 163W AND 177W WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. ALSO WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE
AND FROM 30N TO 48N BETWEEN 135W AND 150W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
9 TO 13 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 50N173W 971 MB.
WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N180W 977 MB. WITHIN 420 NM NW QUADRANT
...FROM 52N TO 60N W OF 164W AND FROM 54N TO 57N BETWEEN 149W AND
163W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT EXCEPT 16 TO 28 FT IN
BERING SEA.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 53N158W 996 MB MOVING SW 25 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 180 NM
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 48N170W
DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 52N142W 998 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. FROM 56N TO 60N E OF 141W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N AND NE OF A LINE
FROM 55N150W TO 51N128W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
48N170W DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 36N178E 1002 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 360 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 37N
BETWEEN 168W AND 171E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
48N170W DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW NW OF AREA 52N164E 992 MB. N OF A LINE FROM LOW TO 47N176E
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS WELL W OF AREA.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER 41N169E 984
MB. S OF 39N W OF 179W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 44N178W 970 MB AND
SECOND CENTER 46N175E 974 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST
CENTER...WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF SECOND CENTER...AND S OF
41N BETWEEN 160W AND 173E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 49N BETWEEN 160W AND 178E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 10
TO 16 FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 50N131W 993 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E
QUADRANT AND 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND FROM 42N TO 50N E OF 130W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 42N141W 1002 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E OF A
LINE FROM LOW TO 34N141W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 42N BETWEEN 133W AND 142W AND FROM 34N TO 40N
BETWEEN 144W AND 152W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF A LINE FROM 58N137W TO
60N147W TO 55N157W TO 55N167W TO 62N175W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N AND NE OF A
LINE FROM 57N159W TO 59N171W TO 62N174W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WITHIN COOK
INLET...AND NE OF A LINE FROM 59N168W TO 60N173W TO 62N173.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO (AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E) LOCATED 140 
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW 
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE 
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO...ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY 
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC 
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN 
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.LOW 42N139W 1008 MB MOVING E 35 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE OF A LINE
FROM 42N137W TO LOW TO 36N152W TO 32N155W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 52N TO 55N
BETWEEN 152W AND 162W...FROM 42N TO 48N BETWEEN 150W AND
170W...WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 47N176W TO 47N172E TO
52N164E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 50N BETWEEN 133W AND
150W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 52N  E OF 135W AND FROM 50N TO
53N BETWEEN 180W AND 170E.

.HIGH 30N130W 1028 MB MOVING NW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N131W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N157W 1019 MB.

.FORECASTER KREKELER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JAN 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JAN  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JAN  6.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N94W TO 11N98W TO 
12N101W TO 14N97W TO 16N94W TO 12N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 08N95W
TO 08N101W TO 12N103W TO 15N96W TO 14N92W TO 08N95W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 12N96W TO 11N100W TO 14N97W 
TO 16N95W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N91W TO 
07N94W TO 07N101W TO 11N104W TO 15N94W TO 09N91W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94.5W TO 14N95W TO 14N95.5W TO 
16N95W TO 16N94.5W TO 15N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 07N99W TO
05N103W TO 07N103W TO 10N106W TO 10N101W TO 07N99W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND E SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 09N88W TO 10N90W TO 11N89W TO 11N87W TO 11N86W TO
09N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N88W TO 10N90W TO 11N90W TO 12N88W TO
11N86W TO 10N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 12N119W TO 11N125W TO 15N134W TO 19N134W TO 20N126W TO 
12N119W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N118W TO 11N128W TO 18N140W TO 23N140W TO 
19N126W TO 12N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
N AND E SWELL. WITHIN 26N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N128W TO 26N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NEW NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N130W TO 15N134W TO 13N136W TO 
17N137W TO 18N133W TO 16N130W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 
FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N123W TO 07N135W TO 14N140W TO 
30N140W TO 30N116W TO 11N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N121W TO 07N140W TO 24N140W TO 
30N117W TO 23N113W TO 12N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL.

.39 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N111W TO 27N112W 
TO 28N112W TO 26N111W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.45 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1520 UTC TUE JAN 4...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N76W TO 10N83W TO 06.5N93W. 
ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 06.5N93W TO 08N120W TO BEYOND 09N140W. 
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 07.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 
100W AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 06N TO 18N W 
OF 124W.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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