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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Wed, 5 Jan 2022 04:33:25 +0000
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444 
FZPN01 KWBC 050433
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0430 UTC WED JAN 05 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JAN 05. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JAN 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JAN 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 43N162E 980 MB MOVING NW 20 KT FIRST SIX HOURS THEN TURNING
W AND S THROUGH 24 HOURS. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT FROM
43N165E TO 40N167E TO 37N167E AND WITHIN 120 M NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM
N...300 NM E...900 NM SE AND 780 NM SW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9
TO 19 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N161E 970 MB. WITHIN 90 NM N...60 NM E
AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 43N155E 982 MB. FROM 30N TO 36N
BETWEEN 173E AND 160E AND FROM 36N TO 41N BETWEEN 168E AND 160E
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 45N
BETWEEN 171E AND 160E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 20 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N172E 990 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 41N W OF
177E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. ALSO FROM 40N TO 44N W 
OF 170E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 46N171W 974 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 900 NM N...NE...840 NM
E...360 NM S...AND 600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12
TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1140 NM N...1020 NM NE...420 NM SE AND
900 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST
W OF 173W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N174W 968 MB. WITHIN 540 NM NE...120 NM
SE...SW AND 540 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM N...360 NM SE...240 NM SW AND 660 NM
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N177E 978 MB. WITHIN 480 NM NE AND 300 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
660 NM NE...300 NM SE AND 480 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 22 FT. 

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 48N158W 981 MB MOVING N 15 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 120 NM S
QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
480 NM NE...780 NM SE...1020 NM S...420 NM SW AND 360 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N159W 992 MB. WITHIN 480 NM NE AND 300 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
720 NM NE...600 NM E AND 300 NM S WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 19
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

...STORM WARNING...
.18 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 37N177W 985 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE...600
NM SW AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N174W 982 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SE...660 NM
SW AND 420 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780 NM NE...900 NM SE...840 NM SW AND 480 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N169W 978 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE...BETWEEN
240 NM AND 840 NM SE AND 600 NM AND 1260 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30
TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N...020 NM SE
AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 20 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.18 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 41N163E 989 MB. WITHIN 720 NM SE AND
600 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 25 FT...HIGHEST
NEAR 38N161E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N168E 980 MB. BETWEEN 240 NM AND 540 NM
SE AND 120 NM AND 720 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16
TO 28 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 36N162E. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 900 NM SE AND
540 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS WITH LOW 36N172E DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 53N146W 1006 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW OF A LINE
FROM 54N163W TO 58N160W...INCLUDING THE SHELIKOF STRAIT AND FROM
57N TO 59N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 54N TO 60N BETWEEN 133W AND 163W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS WITH LOW 53N159W
DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 38N172W 998 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM
E...720 NM SE...540 NM SW AND 660 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
40N174W DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

...GALE WARNING...
.18 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 49N144W 991 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 420
NM NE AND WITHIN 240 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO
16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N141W 988 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE...540 NM
E...240 NM SE...180 NM SW AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM NE...780 NM SE...480 NM
S AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N129W 989 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANTS
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM
SE...300 NM SW AND 840 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 14 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 41N177E 978
MB. WITHIN 420 NM SE...300 NM SW AND 300 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 30
TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM E...600 NM S
AND 480 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 19 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 46N176W 970 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E
AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE..300 NM SE...300 NM SW...780 NM W AND
240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 38N146W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S
QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600
NM NE...420 NM SE AND 600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS
TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 43N133W 998 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE...180
NM S AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM NE...420 NM SE...660 NM SW AND 420 NM NW
QUADRANTS  WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N AND NE OF A LINE FROM 57N162W
TO 59N171W TO 62N174W. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY NE OF A
LINE FROM 51N130W TO 59N144W TO 59N151W AND N OF A LINE FROM 
55N162W TO 55N179W.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N AND NE OF A
LINE FROM 58N167W TO 62N175W. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY
NE OF A LINE FROM 51N130W TO 60N146W TO 59N152W AND N OF A LINE
FROM 57N163W TO 59N179W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 60N W OF
ALASKA. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY NE OF A LINE FROM
52N131W TO 59N140W AND N OF A LINE FROM 59N140W TO 59N147W TO
58N153W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.SEMISOPOCHNOI VOLCANO (AT POSITION 51.6N 179.4E) LOCATED 140 
NAUTICAL MILES W OF ADAK ISLAND IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW 
LEVEL ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE RECENT HISTORY OF ERUPTIVE 
ACTIVITY AT THE VOLCANO...ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS MAY OCCUR AT ANY 
TIME. MARINERS ENCOUNTERING VOLCANIC ASH OR FLOATING VOLCANIC 
DEBRIS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN 
PREDICTION CENTER BY CALLING 301 683 1520.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 42N TO 50N
BETWEEN 140W AND 154W AND FROM 48N TO 50N BETWEEN 154W AND 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM
43N126W TO 50N139W AND 240 NM N OF A LINE FROM 50N139W TO
52N163W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG NW OF A LINE FROM 48N171E TO
57N174W.

.HIGH 32N131W 1028 MB MOVING NW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N130W 1028 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N149W 1020 MB.

.FORECASTER FUTTERMAN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JAN 5.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JAN  6.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JAN  7.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W
TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.WITHIN 07N92W T O 06N98W TO 08N106W TO 15N103W 
TO 15N95W TO 07N92W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N100W TO 02N105W TO 03N106W TO 
08N101W TO 06N100W TO 04N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N
TO NE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 09N87W TO 09N88W TO 11N88W TO 12N86W TO 
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 08N119W TO 08N140W TO 30N140W TO 27N124W TO 21N126W TO
08N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N130W TO 06N140W TO 29N140W TO
30N116W TO 22N114W TO 07N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N112W TO 04N140W TO 23N140W TO
30N122W TO 24N113W TO 15N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC WED JAN 5...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 06N90W TO 06N100W. ITCZ FROM 
06N100W TO 09N115W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 
10N BETWEEN 119W AND 121W.


.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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