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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Lat.25on Persists. 
Message-ID: <20220105151140.5AC201C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 5 Jan 2022 15:11:40 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 051200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 05-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER
AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.65OE TO THE NORTH OF
LAT.25ON PERSISTS.

 THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN &
ADJOINING PAKISTAN EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.

 AN INTENSE WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS VERY LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST
INDIA FROM THE NIGHT OF 06TH JANUARY, 2022 ONWARDS. UNDER ITS
INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM
OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD ON 07TH JANUARY, 2022(.)

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND
UTTARAKHAND.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER PUNJAB; AT MANY PLACES
OVER RAJASTHAN AND HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI; AT A FEW PLACES
OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND
GUJARAT STATE (.) DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

05 JANUARY (DAY 1):  HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN &
MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER EAST RAJASTHAN.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER BIHAR,
EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER WEST
UTTAR PRADESH, ODISHA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, WEST ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA.

 COLD DAY CONDITIONS AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER
BIHAR.

 STRONG WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY
OVER GULF OF MANNAR AND COMORIN AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO
VENTURE INTO THIS AREA.


06 JANUARY (DAY 2)  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH.

 DENSE TO VERY DENSE FOG IN SOME PARTS VERY LIKELY OVER
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER BIHAR,
EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER WEST
UTTAR PRADESH, ODISHA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, WEST ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA.

 COLD DAY CONDITIONS AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER BIHAR.

 STRONG WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY
OVER GULF OF MANNAR AND COMORIN AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO
VENTURE INTO THIS AREA.=

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