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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: The North Of Lat.24on. Under Its Influence, An Induced Cyclonic 
Message-ID: <20220106093027.902C21C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 6 Jan 2022 09:30:27 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 060930

IWB (MORNING) DATED 06-01-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS SEEN AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER
WESTERN PARTS OF AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS WITH
ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.56OE TO
THE NORTH OF LAT.24ON. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD ON 07TH JANUARY, 2022.

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER AFGHANISTAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A
TROUGH ALOFT IN WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.65OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.25ON NOW SEEN AS A
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH PAKISTAN & ADJOINING PUNJAB BETWEEN
1.5 & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN &
ADJOINING PAKISTAN EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW
LIES OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 0.9 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING
UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL  HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, AND HIMACHAL PRADESH.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER PUNJAB AND HARYANA,
CHANDIGARH & DELHI; AT MANY PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN; AT A FEW PLACES
OVER AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND, UTTAR PRADESH, WEST
MADHYA PRADESH AND GUJARAT STATE AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN &
NICOBAR ISLANDS, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, EAST MADHYA
PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL (.)
DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

06 JANUARY (DAY 1):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL
AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND WITH
LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH.

 DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER BIHAR, WEST BENGAL &
SIKKIM, ODISHA, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA.

 STRONG WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
GULF OF MANNAR AND COMORIN AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE
INTO THIS AREA.

07 JANUARY (DAY 2): HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD
AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER PUNJAB, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, RAJASTHAN AND
WEST MADHYA PRADESH AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST
UTTAR PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND MADHYA MAHARSHTRA.

 DENSE FOG IN ISOLATED POCKETS VERY LIKELY OVER BIHAR AND
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM.=

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