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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id s128si751325ybc.734.2022.01.08.00.10.42 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sat, 08 Jan 2022 00:10:42 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2087wBOY015085 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 08:10:41 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3df29117r4-7 for ; Sat, 08 Jan 2022 08:10:41 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 3560AE2E56; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 02:10:41 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id DE0E3E1408 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 02:10:31 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2085pb1I004790 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 08:10:31 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3df1eq9qk5-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sat, 08 Jan 2022 08:10:29 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2088ASEF028090-2088ASEH028090 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 02:10:28 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 02:10:28 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 02:10:28 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 3008C1C0EEE; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 08:10:28 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A2 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220108081028.3008C1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Jan 2022 08:10:28 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=4 bulkscore=0 spamscore=4 suspectscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 mlxlogscore=137 adultscore=47 clxscore=323 priorityscore=249 mlxscore=4 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201080060 X-Spam-Score: 4 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: * X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 279138 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1641629434-74861-9769" X-Proofpoint-GUID: qUj4Ga6vaZ4x7UzUx5hDn0thoOeBeLZv X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: qUj4Ga6vaZ4x7UzUx5hDn0thoOeBeLZv X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 clxscore=1034 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 priorityscore=1501 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 mlxlogscore=419 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201080060 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1641629434-74861-9769 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 080600 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A2 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI JAN 080810 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03F CENTRE 999HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S 173.0E AT 080600 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI EIR AND VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DEPRESSION SLOW MOVING. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS WITHIN 120 TO 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TD03F CENTRE IN THE SECTOR FROM NORTH TO EAST TO SOUTH. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER LLCC WITH CLOUD BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN RADIAL EXTENT WITH CLOUD TOP COOLING. TDO3F LLCC IS IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. DVORAK ANALYSIS HAD A WRAP OF 0.4/0.5 ON LOG 10 SPIRAL WHICH YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PAT AGREE. THUS, FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 081800 UTC 18.8S 173.8E MOV ESE AT 04 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 090600 UTC 19.2S 174.8E MOV SSE AT 02 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 091800 UTC 19.2S 174.8E MOV SE AT 02 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 100600 UTC 19.2S 173.1S MOV S AT 01 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 081400 UTC. ------------=_1641629434-74861-9769 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1641629434-74861-9769--