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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id o128si1079298ybc.450.2022.01.08.05.17.19 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sat, 08 Jan 2022 05:17:19 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 208CEXlo026009 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 13:17:19 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3df1eqbb8u-9 for ; Sat, 08 Jan 2022 13:17:18 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 545E3E30EC; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 07:17:18 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 9A54EE01AB for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 07:17:07 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 208AtTwT031084 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 13:17:07 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3df1eqbb80-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sat, 08 Jan 2022 13:17:07 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 208DH6qk023399-208DH6qm023399 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 07:17:06 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 07:17:06 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 07:17:06 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 0AB2B1C0EEE; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 13:17:05 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A3 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220108131706.0AB2B1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Jan 2022 13:17:05 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_spam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=82 bulkscore=0 spamscore=82 suspectscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 mlxlogscore=-65 adultscore=38 clxscore=328 priorityscore=186 mlxscore=82 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201080105 X-Spam-Score: 82 X-Spam-Flag: YES X-Spam-Bar: ********* X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 279157 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1641647831-74861-9815" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: vR-e_2SueiP6bMPZYj_X89trEbL1xnQc X-Proofpoint-GUID: vR-e_2SueiP6bMPZYj_X89trEbL1xnQc X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=2 bulkscore=0 spamscore=2 suspectscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 mlxlogscore=180 adultscore=0 clxscore=1015 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=2 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201080105 X-Spam-Score: 2 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: * This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1641647831-74861-9815 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 081200 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A3 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 081316 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03F CENTRE 998HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S 173.4E AT 081200 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI EIR AND VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DEPRESSION SLOW MOVING. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT 06 TO 18 HOURS WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF NORTHEAST QUADRANT 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF TD03F CENTRE. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER LLCC WITH CLOUD BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN RADIAL EXTENT WITH CLOUD TOP COOLING. TD03F LLCC IS IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. DVORAK ANALYSIS HAD A WRAP OF 0.4 ON LOG 10 SPIRAL WHICH YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PAT AGREE. THUS, FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 090000 UTC 18.5S 174.8 MOV E AT 07 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 091200 UTC 19.2S 175.9E MOV ESE AT 06 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 100000 UTC 19.7S 175.6E MOV ESE AT 04 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 101200 UTC 20.0S 174.4E MOV SSE AT 02 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 082000 UTC. ------------=_1641647831-74861-9815 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1641647831-74861-9815--