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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id c66si1780555ybc.28.2022.01.08.12.32.33 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sat, 08 Jan 2022 12:32:33 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 208JIOtB030246 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 20:32:32 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3df13xd77k-5 for ; Sat, 08 Jan 2022 20:32:32 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 88F8EE3638; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 14:32:32 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id A164CE018A for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 14:32:21 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166256.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 208HNJnZ009614 for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 20:32:20 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3deypxdq3n-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sat, 08 Jan 2022 20:32:20 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 208KWJHV009444-208KWJHX009444 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 14:32:19 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 14:32:19 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 14:32:19 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 5C11A1C0EEE; Sat, 8 Jan 2022 20:32:19 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A4 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220108203219.5C11A1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Jan 2022 20:32:19 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=36 bulkscore=0 spamscore=36 suspectscore=0 adultscore=3 priorityscore=292 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxlogscore=25 clxscore=334 phishscore=0 mlxscore=36 impostorscore=0 malwarescore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201080154 X-Spam-Score: 36 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: **** X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 279184 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1641673944-74861-9957" X-Proofpoint-GUID: dIjqUz7zA4rMDyxuOCQqmdKg2QmeIIrO X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: dIjqUz7zA4rMDyxuOCQqmdKg2QmeIIrO X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 impostorscore=0 spamscore=0 bulkscore=0 mlxscore=0 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 priorityscore=1501 adultscore=0 clxscore=1034 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxlogscore=271 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2110150000 definitions=main-2201080154 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1641673944-74861-9957 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 081800 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A4 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI JAN 082032 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03F CENTRE 999HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S 174.3E AT 081800 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI EIR AND VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DEPRESSION MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. WITHIN 60 TO 120 NAOUTICAL MILES AWAY FROM TD03F CENTRE EXPECT WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS IN THE SECTOR FROM NORTH THROUGH EAST TO SOUTHEAST. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER LLCC WITH CLOUD BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. TD03F IS IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. TD03F CURRENTLY STEERED TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL HIGH LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. DVORAK ANALYSIS HAD A WRAP OF 0.4/0.5 ON LOG 10 SPIRAL WHICH YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PAT AGREE. THUS, FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 090600 UTC 18.6S 175.4E MOV ESE AT 05 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 091800 UTC 19.0S 175.9E MOV ESE AT 04 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 100600 UTC 19.4S 175.7E MOV SE AT 03 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 101800 UTC 19.6S 175.3E MOV SE AT 02 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 090200 UTC. ------------=_1641673944-74861-9957 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1641673944-74861-9957--